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【征文】2015 年底总结


http://www.mitbbs.com//article_t/Stock/36495411.html

发信人: Bernanke (Ben), 信区: Stock
标  题: 【征文】2015 年底总结
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Tue Dec 29 13:24:17 2015, 美东)

在过去的一年中,你有哪些收获,心得体会,血泪教训?

收获,overall 60% ytd, mainly because of 100%+ AMZN long-term positions.
心得,focus on a small number of stocks you are familiar with, whether you
trade stock or options.
教训,do not take anything for granted. I tend to think option expiration
Friday will not see too much volatility. In fact, several of the stocks I
saw experienced tremendous volatility on Fridays.

你最成功的一笔交易是啥?
FITBIT and CTRIP put options, one with 300%+ return and the other with 100%+
.

为什么这笔交易很成功?

Based on my understanding of how stock market tend to respond to new share
issuance as well as my back-of-the-envelope calculation to the upper bound
of their value once the stocks are issued.

你最失败的交易是啥?

SBUX call option, pre-ER, -100% return.


为什么这笔交易很失败?

Thought SBUX can behave like MCD after ER. In fact, the two cases are
completely different.

你的炒股水平在哪些方面精进了?

Timing of operations.

2016年你对自己有哪些打算?

Study more stocks for my pre/post ER option play.

制定了新的投资计划?

Mostly post ER, short-term option play.

打算读完几本书?

I only read financial news, do not read books for the sake of stock trading.
Not helpful at all.

学点什么?

Learn more about financial statement analysis for long-term investment
purposes.

打算去哪里看看,开阔自己的眼界?

Orlando and LA for my kids. If I am traveling alone, I would prefer going to
Vegas to play Black Jack for fun and practicing.

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